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Our model projects New York Liberty W 88, Connecticut Sun W 77, with the Liberty W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 164.7-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Liberty W score 83.5 a game and concede 80.1; Sun W score 75.9 and concede 85.8.
Liberty W sit 2nd in the WNBA standings, Sun W sit 5th. Tip-off at Barclays Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Liberty W by 10.5, total 164.7.
Liberty W at home: 18–7 SU, 83.5 PPG. Sun W on the road: 5–19 SU, 75.9 PPG.
New York Liberty W 3 – 2 Connecticut Sun W across the last 5 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 27 | 17 | 3713 | 3534 | WWWLL | |
| 5 | 11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | LLWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.