Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W stream and odds, WNBA May 09, 2026

Q: Where can I watch Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W live?

Use the Watch live button at the top of the page. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.

Q: Who is favoured in Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W?

Based on the 2025 season data: Las Vegas Aces W are profiled as elite offence, leaky defence (71% win rate) and Phoenix Mercury W as elite offence, leaky defence (56%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in.

Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W prediction

Our model projects Las Vegas Aces W 87, Phoenix Mercury W 80, with the Aces W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 166.7-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Aces W score 85.2 a game and concede 81.1; Mercury W score 82.6 and concede 80.6.

Aces W sit 2nd in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Michelob Ultra Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick

Las Vegas Aces W -7.3

Lean · 67% win probability

Projected score

87.0 – 79.7

Las Vegas Aces W · Phoenix Mercury W

Projected total

166.7

Combined points

Win probability

67%

33%

Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Las Vegas Aces W

Elite offence, leaky defence

Last meetingsWWWWW

Record30–14 (2 in group)

PPG for / against85.2 / 81.1

Win % overall71%

Home win %81%

Away win %59%

OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Fortress Up-tempo

Phoenix Mercury W

Elite offence, leaky defence

Last meetingsLLLLL

Record27–17 (3 in group)

PPG for / against82.6 / 80.6

Win % overall56%

Home win %62%

Away win %50%

OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Pre-match angle

The model line: Aces W by 7.3, total 166.7.

Aces W at home: 25–6 SU, 85.2 PPG. Mercury W on the road: 14–14 SU, 82.6 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Las Vegas Aces W 8 – 1 Phoenix Mercury W across the last 9 meetings.

Oct 11, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 86 vs 97 Las Vegas Aces W WNBA

Oct 09, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 88 vs 90 Las Vegas Aces W WNBA

Oct 05, 2025 Las Vegas Aces W 91 vs 78 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA

Oct 04, 2025 Las Vegas Aces W 89 vs 86 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA

Aug 22, 2025 Las Vegas Aces W 83 vs 61 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA

Aug 16, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 83 vs 86 Las Vegas Aces W WNBA

Jun 29, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 81 vs 84 Las Vegas Aces W WNBA

Jun 15, 2025 Las Vegas Aces W 70 vs 76 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA

May 07, 2025 Las Vegas Aces W 85 vs 84 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#	Team	W	L	PF	PA	Last 5
2	Las Vegas Aces W	30	14	3680	3552	LWWWW
3	Phoenix Mercury W	27	17	3643	3525	WLLLL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

More WNBA this week

View full WNBA schedule →

New York Liberty W vs Connecticut Sun W

Fri May 08 · 23:30 UTCBarclays Center

Toronto Tempo W vs Washington Mystics W

Fri May 08 · 23:30 UTCCoca-Cola Coliseum

Seattle Storm W vs Golden State Valkyries W

Sat May 09 · 02:00 UTCClimate Pledge Arena

Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W

Sat May 09 · 17:00 UTCGainbridge Fieldhouse

Minnesota Lynx W vs Atlanta Dream W

Sun May 10 · 00:00 UTCTarget Center

Portland W vs Chicago Sky W

Sun May 10 · 01:00 UTCModa Center

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W live?

Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.

What time does Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W tip-off?

Tip-off is Sat May 09 · 19:30 UTC at Michelob Ultra Arena. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.

Who is favoured in Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W?

Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Las Vegas Aces W are profiled as elite offence, leaky defence (71% win rate) and Phoenix Mercury W as elite offence, leaky defence (56%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.

What's the all-time head-to-head?

From the most recent season we cover, Las Vegas Aces W and Phoenix Mercury W have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.

WNBA · May 09, 2026 · Michelob Ultra ArenaLas Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Stream Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W live