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Our model projects Los Angeles Sparks W 85, Las Vegas Aces W 87, with the Aces W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 172.0-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Sparks W score 85.6 a game and concede 88.1; Aces W score 85.2 and concede 81.1.
Sparks W sit 6th in the WNBA standings, Aces W sit 2nd. Tip-off at Crypto.com Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Aces W by 2.4, total 172.0.
Sparks W at home: 9–13 SU, 85.6 PPG. Aces W on the road: 16–11 SU, 85.2 PPG.
Los Angeles Sparks W 1 – 3 Las Vegas Aces W across the last 4 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 21 | 23 | 3769 | 3882 | LLWWL | |
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 3680 | 3552 | LWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.