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Our model projects Golden State Valkyries W 80, Phoenix Mercury W 80, with the Valkyries W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 161.0-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Valkyries W score 77.8 a game and concede 77.0; Mercury W score 82.6 and concede 80.6.
Valkyries W sit 4th in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Chase Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Valkyries W at home: 14–10 SU, 77.8 PPG. Mercury W on the road: 14–14 SU, 82.6 PPG.
Golden State Valkyries W 1 – 4 Phoenix Mercury W across the last 5 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 23 | 21 | 3420 | 3359 | LLLLL | |
| 3 | 27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | WLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.