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WNBA · May 13, 2026 · Mortgage Matchup CenterPhoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Phoenix Mercury W logo
Home · Elite offence, leaky defence
VS · Wed May 13 · 02:00 UTC
,
Away · Elite offence, leaky defence
Minnesota Lynx W logo
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Stream Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W live

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Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W prediction

Our model projects Phoenix Mercury W 82, Minnesota Lynx W 82, with the Mercury W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 164.6-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Mercury W score 82.6 a game and concede 80.6; Lynx W score 85.0 and concede 77.0.

Mercury W sit 3rd in the WNBA standings, Lynx W sit 1st. Tip-off at Mortgage Matchup Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Phoenix Mercury W -0.0
Coin-flip · 50% win probability
Projected score
82.3 – 82.3
Phoenix Mercury W · Minnesota Lynx W
Projected total
164.6
Combined points
Win probability
50%
50%
Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Phoenix Mercury W logo Phoenix Mercury W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsWWLLW
Record27–17 (3 in group)
PPG for / against82.6 / 80.6
Win % overall56%
Home win %62%
Away win %50%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Minnesota Lynx W logo Minnesota Lynx W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsLLWWL
Record34–10 (1 in group)
PPG for / against85.0 / 77.0
Win % overall72%
Home win %85%
Away win %58%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Fortress Up-tempo

Pre-match angle

Mercury W at home: 18–11 SU, 82.6 PPG. Lynx W on the road: 15–11 SU, 85.0 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Phoenix Mercury W 3 – 4 Minnesota Lynx W across the last 7 meetings.

Sep 29, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 86 vs 81 Minnesota Lynx W WNBA
Sep 27, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 84 vs 76 Minnesota Lynx W WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 Minnesota Lynx W 82 vs 69 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 Minnesota Lynx W 79 vs 66 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
Jul 09, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 79 vs 71 Minnesota Lynx W WNBA
Jun 04, 2025 Minnesota Lynx W 88 vs 65 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
May 31, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 71 vs 74 Minnesota Lynx W WNBA

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
3
Phoenix Mercury W logoPhoenix Mercury W
27 17 3643 3525 WLLLL
1
Minnesota Lynx W logoMinnesota Lynx W
34 10 3787 3373 WWWLL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W tip-off?
Tip-off is Wed May 13 · 02:00 UTC at Mortgage Matchup Center. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Phoenix Mercury W are profiled as elite offence, leaky defence (56% win rate) and Minnesota Lynx W as elite offence, leaky defence (72%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, Phoenix Mercury W and Minnesota Lynx W have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.