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Our model projects Beijing 92, Guangdong 88, with the Beijing favored in this CBA matchup.
The combined 179.6-point projection runs below the CBA’s 187.0 combined-points average. Beijing score 90.5 a game and concede 82.4; Guangdong score 93.7 and concede 88.6.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Cadillac Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from CBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Over 169.5 | Under 169.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | 1.74 | |
| 1.81 | 1.89 | |
| 1.85 | 1.84 | |
| 1.85 | 1.84 | |
| 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.80 | 1.83 |
| Bookmaker | Beijing -7.5 | Guangdong +7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.77 | 1.93 | |
| 1.72 | 1.82 | |
| 1.81 | 1.92 | |
| 1.78 | 1.87 |
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The model line: Beijing by 4.4, total 179.6.
Beijing at home: 15–6 SU, 90.5 PPG. Guangdong on the road: 14–8 SU, 93.7 PPG.
Beijing 2 – 0 Guangdong across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 29 | 13 | 3803 | 3462 | LWWWW | |
| 5 | 27 | 15 | 3964 | 3748 | LLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.