Our model projects Olimpico 83, Penarol 84, with the Penarol favored in this Liga A matchup.
The combined 166.7-point projection runs in line with the Liga A’s 163.1 combined-points average. Olimpico score 88.6 a game and concede 83.8; Penarol score 83.2 and concede 73.8.
Olimpico sit 6th in the Liga A standings, Penarol sit 2nd. Tip-off at Estadio Vicente Rosales. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga A 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Penarol by 1.3, total 166.7.
Olimpico at home: 1–2 SU, 88.6 PPG. Penarol on the road: 2–0 SU, 83.2 PPG.
Penarol lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Penarol won 87-74 on 5 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 443 | 419 | WWWLL | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | 333 | 295 | WWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.