Our model projects New Zealand Breakers 94, Adelaide 89, with the New Zealand Breakers favored in this NBL matchup. Zylan Cheatham and Nick Rakocevic lead the prop board.
The combined 183.0-point projection runs below the NBL’s 189.1 combined-points average. New Zealand Breakers score 91.2 a game and concede 88.7; Adelaide score 89.3 and concede 92.7.
New Zealand Breakers sit 7th in the NBL standings, Adelaide sit 8th. Tip-off at Spark Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
New Zealand Breakers Adelaide2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
| Bookmaker | New Zealand Breakers | Draw | Adelaide |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.81 | 15.50 | 2.10 |
 Marathonbet | 1.81 | 15.75 | 2.10 |
 Stake | 1.83 | 10.75 | 1.98 |
| Bookmaker | Over 182.5 | Under 182.5 |
|---|---|---|
 bet365 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
 Rainbet | 1.79 | 2.04 |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 1.98 |
| Stake | 1.78 | 1.91 |
| Bookmaker | New Zealand Breakers -1.5 | Adelaide +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.91 | 2.05 |
| Rainbet | 1.88 | 2.16 |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 2.16 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 2.16 |
| Stake | 1.87 | 2.05 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
The model line: New Zealand Breakers by 5.0, total 183.0.
New Zealand Breakers at home: 2–0 SU, 91.2 PPG. Adelaide on the road: 3–3 SU, 89.3 PPG.
Adelaide lead 5-3 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: New Zealand Breakers won 88-72 on 4 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | New Zealand BreakersNew Zealand Breakers |
4 | 5 | 821 | 798 | LLWLW |
| 8 | AdelaideAdelaide |
4 | 5 | 804 | 834 | LWWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The ACB supplied the widest gap, Le Mans took the narrowest win, and the WNBA and NBL gave the weekend very different finishes.
A 45-game weekend turned on three-point separation, rebounding control, and late possessions, with ACB, Lega A, BBL, and NBL results supplying the detail.