Our model projects Tasmania JackJumpers 96, New Zealand Breakers 92, with the JackJumpers favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 188.0-point projection runs in line with the NBL’s 189.1 combined-points average. JackJumpers score 98.8 a game and concede 93.5; New Zealand Breakers score 91.2 and concede 88.7.
JackJumpers sit 1st in the NBL standings, New Zealand Breakers sit 7th. Tip-off at MyState Bank Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Tasmania JackJumpers New Zealand Breakers2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: JackJumpers by 4.8, total 188.0.
JackJumpers at home: 4–1 SU, 98.8 PPG. New Zealand Breakers on the road: 2–5 SU, 91.2 PPG.
Tasmania JackJumpers lead 5-4 across the last 9 meetings on record. Most recent: Tasmania JackJumpers won 98-92 on 18 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tasmania JackJumpersJackJumpers |
6 | 2 | 790 | 748 | WWLWW |
| 7 | New Zealand BreakersNew Zealand Breakers |
4 | 5 | 821 | 798 | LLWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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