Our model projects Brasilia 90, Botafogo 81, with the Brasilia favored in this NBB matchup.
The combined 170.7-point projection runs above the NBB’s 155.6 combined-points average. Brasilia score 86.2 a game and concede 86.2; Botafogo score 81.0 and concede 84.0.
Brasilia sit 4th in the NBB standings, Botafogo sit 12th. Tip-off at Arena BRB Nilson Nelson. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBB 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Brasilia by 8.5, total 170.7.
Brasilia at home: 2–0 SU, 86.2 PPG. Botafogo on the road: 0–2 SU, 81.0 PPG.
Brasilia lead 4-0 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Brasilia won 79-73 on 6 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 345 | 345 | LWWW | |
| 12 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 252 | WLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.