Our model projects San Antonio Spurs 115, Minnesota Timberwolves 114, with the Spurs favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 228.3-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Spurs score 113.5 a game and concede 110.0; Timberwolves score 117.8 and concede 111.3.
Spurs sit 7th in the NBA standings, Timberwolves sit 6th. Tip-off at Frost Bank Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Spurs by 1.1, total 228.3.
Spurs at home: 2–3 SU, 113.5 PPG. Timberwolves on the road: 5–2 SU, 117.8 PPG.
Minnesota Timberwolves lead 7-6 across the last 13 meetings on record. Most recent: San Antonio Spurs won 139-109 on 16 May 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 583 | 550 | WWWLL | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 602 | 539 | LLWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

A buzzer-beater capped Tatum’s 40-point night, while New York and San Antonio answered rough starts with decisive home wins.

The 2026-27 NBA season begins Tuesday with a tripleheader, then puts fresh star pairings and Western Conference contenders under the first regular-season spotlight.