Our model projects San Antonio Spurs 120, Dallas Mavericks 110, with the Spurs favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 230.5-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Spurs score 113.5 a game and concede 110.0; Mavericks score 113.4 and concede 120.1.
Spurs sit 7th in the NBA standings, Mavericks sit 8th. Tip-off at Frost Bank Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Spurs by 9.5, total 230.5.
Spurs at home: 2–3 SU, 113.5 PPG. Mavericks on the road: 2–1 SU, 113.4 PPG.
San Antonio Spurs lead 6-3 across the last 9 meetings on record. Most recent: San Antonio Spurs won 122-106 on 25 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Antonio SpursSpurs |
3 | 2 | 583 | 550 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Dallas MavericksMavericks |
3 | 2 | 570 | 560 | WWLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
A buzzer-beater capped Tatum’s 40-point night, while New York and San Antonio answered rough starts with decisive home wins.
The 2026-27 NBA season begins Tuesday with a tripleheader, then puts fresh star pairings and Western Conference contenders under the first regular-season spotlight.