Our model projects Jilin 93, Shenzhen 80, with the Jilin favored in this CBA matchup.
The combined 173.4-point projection runs below the CBA’s 179.0 combined-points average. Jilin score 85.2 a game and concede 83.0; Shenzhen score 76.8 and concede 97.8.
Jilin sit 7th in the CBA standings, Shenzhen sit 13th. Tip-off at Changchun Gymnasium. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from CBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
| Bookmaker | Jilin -2.5 | Shenzhen +2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 1.56 | 2.03 | |
| 1.63 | 2.07 | |
| 1.78 | 1.85 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
The model line: Jilin by 12.6, total 173.4.
Jilin at home: 1–2 SU, 85.2 PPG. Shenzhen on the road: 1–2 SU, 76.8 PPG.
Shenzhen lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Shenzhen won 111-86 on 29 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 426 | 415 | WWWLL | |
| 13 | 2 | 3 | 384 | 489 | WLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.