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Our model projects Detroit Pistons 118, Cleveland Cavaliers 114, with the Pistons favored in this NBA matchup. Donovan Mitchell and Tobias Harris lead the prop board.
The combined 231.7-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 233.9 combined-points average. Pistons score 116.5 a game and concede 108.9; Cavaliers score 118.7 and concede 115.3.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Little Caesars Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Detroit Pistons | Draw | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 15.00 | 2.40 | |
| 1.68 | 14.75 | 2.33 | |
| 1.70 | 10.75 | 2.32 |
| Bookmaker | Over 213.5 | Under 213.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | 2.15 | |
| 1.69 | 2.20 | |
| 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 1.68 | 2.04 | |
| 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.75 | 2.07 |
| Bookmaker | Detroit Pistons -1.5 | Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 2.45 | |
| 1.75 | 2.39 | |
| 1.79 | 2.41 | |
| 1.71 | 2.32 | |
| 1.73 | 2.30 | |
| 1.75 | 2.40 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | Pts + Ast | 28.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.95 Stake |
| Jalen Duren | Pts + Ast | 18.5 | 2.00 bet365 | 1.80 bet365 |
| Cade Cunningham | Pts + Ast | 38.5 | 1.88 Stake | 1.90 bet365 |
| Tobias Harris | Pts + Ast | 19.5 | 1.87 Stake | 1.95 bet365 |
| Jaylon Tyson | Pts + Ast | 7.5 | 1.83 bet365 | 1.98 Stake |
| Daniss Jenkins | Pts + Ast | 10.5 | 1.80 bet365 | 2.00 Stake |
| Dean Wade | Pts + Ast | 5.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.89 bet365 |
| Isaiah Stewart | Pts + Ast | 5.5 | 1.95 Stake | 1.83 bet365 |
| Sam Merrill | Pts + Ast | 7.5 | 1.88 Stake | 1.90 bet365 |
| James Harden | Pts + Ast | 24.5 | 1.83 Stake | 1.95 bet365 |
| Jarrett Allen | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.95 bet365 | 1.83 bet365 |
| Evan Mobley | Pts + Ast | 18.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.89 bet365 |
The model line: Pistons by 4.3, total 231.7.
Pistons at home: 35–10 SU, 116.5 PPG. Cavaliers on the road: 25–21 SU, 118.7 PPG.
Detroit Pistons 1 – 3 Cleveland Cavaliers across the last 4 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60 | 22 | 9657 | 8988 | LLWWW | |
| 4 | 52 | 30 | 9801 | 9464 | WLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.