Our model projects Phoenix Suns 113, Denver Nuggets 116, with the Nuggets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 229.3-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Suns score 108.4 a game and concede 117.0; Nuggets score 114.7 and concede 114.6.
Suns sit 11th in the NBA standings, Nuggets sit 9th. Tip-off at Mortgage Matchup Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
| Bookmaker | Phoenix Suns | Draw | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.78 | 14.25 | 1.51 |
| Bookmaker | Phoenix Suns -2.5 | Denver Nuggets +2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| - | 1.68 | |
| - | 1.64 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
The model line: Nuggets by 3.3, total 229.3.
Suns at home: 2–1 SU, 108.4 PPG. Nuggets on the road: 2–2 SU, 114.7 PPG.
Denver Nuggets lead 6-2 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: Denver Nuggets won 125-123 on 25 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1 | 2 | 328 | 371 | LWLLL | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 443 | 456 | WLWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

Ebuka Okorie's late layup seals Detroit's preseason opener, Jaylen Brown scores 22 in his Sixers debut, and the first four games bring very different early tests.

Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.