Our model projects New Orleans Pelicans 116, Atlanta Hawks 122, with the Hawks favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 238.0-point projection runs above the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Pelicans score 116.6 a game and concede 117.9; Hawks score 123.4 and concede 114.1.
Pelicans sit 14th in the NBA standings, Hawks sit 7th. Tip-off at Smoothie King Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
New Orleans Pelicans Atlanta Hawks2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Hawks by 6.4, total 238.0.
Pelicans at home: 1–1 SU, 116.6 PPG. Hawks on the road: 5–0 SU, 123.4 PPG.
Atlanta Hawks lead 4-0 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Atlanta Hawks won 117-100 on 8 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | New Orleans PelicansPelicans |
0 | 4 | 465 | 488 | WLLLL |
| 7 | Atlanta HawksHawks |
2 | 3 | 601 | 576 | WLLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Hawks recovered from Cleveland's fast start, the Pelicans found their first win through Jeremiah Fears, and Memphis closed a 5-0 start in Portland.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.