Our model projects Boston Celtics 126, Milwaukee Bucks 109, with the Celtics favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 235.5-point projection runs above the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Celtics score 121.2 a game and concede 109.3; Bucks score 113.0 and concede 123.3.
Celtics sit 4th in the NBA standings, Bucks sit 13th. Tip-off at TD Garden. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Celtics by 16.9, total 235.5.
Celtics at home: 3–0 SU, 121.2 PPG. Bucks on the road: 2–3 SU, 113.0 PPG.
Boston Celtics lead 6-1 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Boston Celtics won 133-101 on 4 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 479 | 447 | WWWLW | |
| 13 | 1 | 4 | 567 | 621 | LWLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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