Our model projects Oklahoma City Thunder 117, Cleveland Cavaliers 111, with the Thunder favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 228.4-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Thunder score 108.6 a game and concede 109.3; Cavaliers score 115.8 and concede 119.2.
Thunder sit 5th in the NBA standings, Cavaliers sit 5th. Tip-off at Paycom Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Oklahoma City Thunder Cleveland Cavaliers2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Thunder by 6.4, total 228.4.
Thunder at home: 3–2 SU, 108.6 PPG. Cavaliers on the road: 0–2 SU, 115.8 PPG.
Oklahoma City Thunder lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Oklahoma City Thunder won 121-113 on 22 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oklahoma City ThunderThunder |
4 | 1 | 541 | 523 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Cleveland CavaliersCavaliers |
3 | 1 | 479 | 471 | LWWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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