Our model projects Memphis Grizzlies 121, Indiana Pacers 113, with the Grizzlies favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 234.1-point projection runs above the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Grizzlies score 117.3 a game and concede 109.0; Pacers score 120.4 and concede 117.6.
Grizzlies sit 3rd in the NBA standings, Pacers sit 8th. Tip-off at FedExForum. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Grizzlies by 8.1, total 234.1.
Grizzlies at home: 2–1 SU, 117.3 PPG. Pacers on the road: 2–1 SU, 120.4 PPG.
Memphis Grizzlies lead 4-1 across the last 5 meetings on record. Most recent: Memphis Grizzlies won 125-106 on 1 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 467 | 428 | WWWWW | |
| 8 | 2 | 3 | 575 | 574 | LLWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

The Hawks recovered from Cleveland's fast start, the Pelicans found their first win through Jeremiah Fears, and Memphis closed a 5-0 start in Portland.

Ebuka Okorie's late layup seals Detroit's preseason opener, Jaylen Brown scores 22 in his Sixers debut, and the first four games bring very different early tests.