Our model projects Denver Nuggets 118, Toronto Raptors 114, with the Nuggets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 232.1-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Nuggets score 114.7 a game and concede 114.6; Raptors score 119.1 and concede 111.9.
Nuggets sit 9th in the NBA standings, Raptors sit 3rd. Tip-off at Ball Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Nuggets by 3.5, total 232.1.
Nuggets at home: 2–1 SU, 114.7 PPG. Raptors on the road: 1–3 SU, 119.1 PPG.
Denver Nuggets lead 5-0 across the last 5 meetings on record. Most recent: Denver Nuggets won 121-115 on 21 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 443 | 456 | WLWLW | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 470 | 410 | WLWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.

The Nuggets rallied from 23 down, Philadelphia resisted Milwaukee's push, and the ACB delivered the weekend's widest result.