Our model projects Jilin 91, Guangzhou 87, with the Jilin favored in this CBA matchup.
The combined 178.4-point projection runs in line with the CBA’s 179.0 combined-points average. Jilin score 85.2 a game and concede 83.0; Guangzhou score 90.8 and concede 93.8.
Jilin sit 7th in the CBA standings, Guangzhou sit 8th. Tip-off at Changchun Gymnasium. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from CBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Jilin by 4.2, total 178.4.
Jilin at home: 1–2 SU, 85.2 PPG. Guangzhou on the road: 1–2 SU, 90.8 PPG.
Guangzhou lead 4-2 across the last 6 meetings on record. Most recent: Guangzhou won 93-75 on 18 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 426 | 415 | WWWLL | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 454 | 469 | WLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.