Our model projects Virtus Bologna 94, Trieste 86, with the Virtus favored in this Lega A matchup.
The combined 179.9-point projection runs above the Lega A’s 175.4 combined-points average. Virtus score 97.4 a game and concede 84.2; Trieste score 89.0 and concede 85.2.
Virtus sit 1st in the Lega A standings, Trieste sit 10th. Tip-off at Segafredo Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Lega A 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Virtus Bologna
Trieste2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
The model line: Virtus by 7.7, total 179.9.
Virtus at home: 2–0 SU, 97.4 PPG. Trieste on the road: 0–2 SU, 89.0 PPG.
The last 4 meetings on record are split 2-2. Most recent: Virtus Bologna won 95-81 on 26 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus BolognaVirtus |
5 | 0 | 487 | 421 | WWWWW |
| 10 | TriesteTrieste |
2 | 3 | 445 | 426 | WWLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Round 6 showed three different ways to win, but ball security may travel better than a shooting run when the calendar tightens.
Virtus Bologna's late shot, Baskonia's ball movement and Verona's narrow edge point to one early-season separator: the quality of the next decision.
