Our model projects Real Madrid 102, San Pablo Burgos 89, with the Real Madrid favored in this Liga ACB matchup.
The combined 191.5-point projection runs above the Liga ACB’s 185.3 combined-points average. Real Madrid score 112.8 a game and concede 89.4; San Pablo Burgos score 89.8 and concede 87.0.
Real Madrid sit 1st in the Liga ACB standings, San Pablo Burgos sit 12th. Tip-off at Movistar Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga ACB 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Real Madrid San Pablo Burgos2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
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The model line: Real Madrid by 13.3, total 191.5.
Real Madrid at home: 3–0 SU, 112.8 PPG. San Pablo Burgos on the road: 2–1 SU, 89.8 PPG.
Real Madrid lead 2-0 across the last 2 meetings on record. Most recent: Real Madrid won 94-78 on 12 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real MadridReal Madrid |
5 | 0 | 564 | 447 | WWWWW |
| 12 | San Pablo BurgosSan Pablo Burgos |
2 | 3 | 449 | 435 | WLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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